Writing a futures piece is risky; I will be wrong in many cases, and on rereading this paper in ten years we will laugh at both the obvious things missed and the impossibly naive and optimistic claims included. The case of the Internet is a humbling example of the difficulty of making predictions: although many of us have been fervently dedicated to networking and its applications to education, we totally missed the significance of the standardization that led to the Internet and its explosive growth in the last year. Ten years from now, we are likely to be only a fraction of the way toward achieving most of the optimistic predictions, and education, once again, will have demonstrated its imperviousness to change.
In any case, I have been sufficiently reckless to set down here some ideas about how information technologies might impact education in general, and science education in particular. I begin by making some assumptions about information technology implementations and their impact on learning and the educational system. The simplest prediction of the future is based on extrapolation, where current fucntions are spliced onto the new technology to give extensions of the present educational functions. This can result in some very exciting developments. The most interesting future changes, however, may come from technology-enabled new approaches to learning that have no analog in our pre-information age. Only after all these preliminaries, am I ready to sketch out what future science learning might look like, in progressive schools that use these options, and in the bulk of schools that will try to avoid it. Warning to the reader: the resulting picture is a bit depressing because I see the impact of technology may be thrust on most schools unwillingly and in ways that do not let them take full advantage of its potential.
Handheld Computers
Pipes, Servers, and Clients
Applications
Payment
The Cybrary
Hot Lesson Plans
Telecollaboration
Netcourses for Teacher Professional Development
Netcourses and Net Schools for Students
Evaluation
Guides and Agents
Virtual Museums
Science in the Best Environments
Elementary Material
Middle Years
The Precollege Years
Science in Most Schools
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Last modified May 1, 1996 (gls).